China's Nuclear-Powered ICBM Submarines: A Looming Threat to the US?

 

 China's Nuclear-Powered Submarines: Looming Threat to US? 

Admiral Sam Paparo's warning of Chinese submarines' capabilities sparked concerns about an impending threat to the US. 

By Rebecca Guerra, November 2022. 

China is continuously expanding its military capabilities, and the concern over its growing nuclear arsenal has reached new heights. Though only estimations, reports suggest that China's fleet may include five aircraft carriers and the development of six nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) by 2030. 

With a potential nuclear arsenal of up to 1,000 warheads, China's submarines could pose a significant threat to the US. Chinese nuclear-powered submarines, such as the Type 094, each house 12 missile launchers and 72 nuclear missiles. Developing the longer-range JL-3 submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) would grant China the opportunity to target the eastern U.S. coast from the South China Sea, potentially putting the majority of the western U.S. at risk. However, the Chinese government has not officially announced the commissioning of the JL-3. 

Military experts argue that China builds its nuclear capabilities to ensure its safety, counteract foreign nuclear blackmail, and deter potential attacks. Despite this, concerns persist that an arms race could ensue between the two countries, potentially leading to increased global instability. 

The US Navy maintains a significant presence in the Asia-Pacific region, with six aircraft carriers, 50 cruisers and destroyers, and eight Ohio-class ballistic missile submarines. The new Columbia class, which employs electric propulsion and the latest technology, is currently being developed to replace the Ohio-class submarines. Though quieter and more advanced, the US Navy acknowledges that nuclear-powered submarines remain essential for counter-attack capabilities. 

In the nuclear age, all out war is a no win proposition for all concerned. International relationships are a continuing game of fear, intimidation, deterence and mutually assured destruction. Amidst these developments, it is crucial for global powers to engage in diplomacy and dialogue in the hope that their military advancements do not escalate tensions or tip the balance of power. International conflicts play out in "grey warfare" at all levels starting at trade, ramping up to harrassment, operations other than war, conventional war, below nuclear war, and in order to avoid escalating, countries need to balance their forces and show strength at all levels.